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  • expert headshot
    Chip Patterson
    +68
    (56%)
    5-4 in Last 9 NCAAB Picks
    MIAMI +2.5
    -112
    Spread
    Picked: Mar 3 @ 4:08pm

    Analysis

    There should be some real concern about SMU right now, because the Mustangs undid some good work with last week’s trip to the Bay Area to face Cal and Stanford. Saturday’s 20-point loss at Stanford left SMU 0-2 on the trip and now welcome in a Miami team that had as many ACC wins (6) in the month of February as anyone not named Duke. SMU, on the other hand, went 4-4 in that same stretch and didn’t provide too much in terms of defensive resistance. Miami plays with a much thinner margin against high-end shooting teams, but whether SMU is in rhythm or not after the West Coast road trip is something to question.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    #2
    +2093
    (59%)
    119-84 in Last 203 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    C. Holmgren
    Under 19.5
    -124
    PTS + AST
    Picked: Mar 4 @ 7:19am

    Analysis

    Caesar’s. Chet Holmgren has remained under this line in nine of his last thirteen games, and in 15/25 with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Isaiah Hartenstein, both of whom are expected to play after restring for injury maintenance purposes last night. Holmgren gets a tough test against the Knicks tonight - New York protects the paint well (sixth fewest points allowed, which maintains even without Mitch Robinson) and permit the third fewest assists. I don’t see this as a volume spot for Holmgren, who’d have to post elite shooting numbers from long range to clear this. I’d bet this down to under 18.5.
  • expert headshot
    Jeff Hochman
    +275
    (71%)
    5-2 in Last 7 NCAAB ATS Picks
    OHIOST -6.5
    -114
    Spread
    Picked: Mar 3 @ 5:06pm

    Analysis

    Big time strength vs. weakness matchup. Penn State’s interior defense is fundamentally flawed. The Nittany Lions are among the nation’s worst in two-point percentage defense, giving up a staggering 58.6% shooting inside the arc. This bodes well for the Buckeyes, who convert 57.8% of their two-point attempts. Penn State’s inability to defend inside almost guarantees a highly efficient offensive night for Ohio State. With the Buckeyes motivated to bolster their NCAA tournament resume, my model projects them to score at will in the paint and build a lead that should easily surpass the spread. Penn State, with little left to play for, is simply finishing out the season.
  • expert headshot
    Chip Patterson
    +68
    (56%)
    5-4 in Last 9 NCAAB Picks
    FSU -1.5
    +105
    Spread
    Picked: Mar 3 @ 4:09pm

    Analysis

    Pittsburgh certainly enjoyed its trip back to the East Coast after closing out the Bay Area double with an upset win against Cal. Now the question is whether we see a jet-lagged letdown against a Florida State team that’s 4-0 in its last four and 5-3 overall in ACC road games this season. It’s no surprise to see teams start to play better basketball late in Year 1 of a new hire, and Luke Loucks’ team has been mostly trending in the right direction after an 0-5 start to conference play. We have seen teams really struggle in that first return game after the ACC’s Bay Area back-to-back over the last two seasons, and Florida State’s quality validates a play in this spot.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +1686
    (72%)
    34-13 in Last 47 NHL ML Picks
    SEA
    -142
    Money Line
    Picked: Mar 3 @ 3:38pm

    Analysis

    Feels a bit of a generous opening number on Wednesday for Seattle (-165 perhaps?), which cashed for us Monday in beating Carolina. The Kraken are just a different club at home (won five straight there) and right in the thick of the West WC race. The Blues have no postseason shot and will be trading guys by Friday. Likely Wednesday goalie Jordan Binnington played well in the Olympics but has lost eight straight in the NHL spanning the break with a 4.19 GAA. It should be his turn unless traded, although his value is so low right now I doubt that. Good payback spot for the Kraken for a 5-1 loss in St. Louis on Feb. 26; Joel Hofer in net for the Blues.

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