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  • expert headshot
    Thomas Casale
    #3
    +773
    (62%)
    28-17 in Last 45 NCAAB ATS Picks
    HOU -3.5
    -110
    Spread
    LOSS
    Picked: Feb 19 @ 6:43pm

    Analysis

    DK opened Houston -3.5 with other books sitting at 4.5. I'm not sure where the number will go but I'm happy with 3.5. It's up to you if you want to wait for a potentially better line but I don't know if this gets below -3. It's late in the season so I don't have a bunch of statistical edges for the Cougars. I like the spot for Houston at home and I think they are the better team. Bet up to 4.5.
  • expert headshot
    Eric Cohen
    +135
    (60%)
    3-2 in Last 5 NCAAB Picks
    Under 141.5
    -110
    Over/Under
    WIN
    Picked: Feb 19 @ 9:08pm

    Analysis

    I'm jumping on this total early as I anticipate it drops into the upper 130s by Saturday. Houston is surrendering less than 62 points per game this season and has only given up more than 65 points at home one time this year (vs. ASU in a blowout). Arizona is without their second leading scorer Koa Peat and will struggle to generate consistent offense against the elite Cougars defense. While I still believe my Wildcats are a Final Four team, Saturday likely won't be their day for success. I see something like a 73-62 final score and would feel comfortable playing this line down to 137.5.
  • expert headshot
    Chip Patterson
    Shoot Your Shot
    Houston
    Over 74.5
    -106
    Home Team Total
    LOSS
    Picked: Feb 21 @ 11:24am

    Analysis

    Arizona's path to victory here is pace, and Houston has dynamic guard play that has proven this season to heat up and score in spurts when they get in rhythm. If the game is close, then it seems to play to a higher scoring game overall. But even if the second half is spent with Houston holding Arizona at a mid-size margin (5-7 points), the continuous pushing from the Wildcats could drive up the possession count and power Houston's point total to 75 or higher.
  • expert headshot
    Eric Cohen
    +135
    (60%)
    3-2 in Last 5 NCAAB Picks
    Under 158.5
    -105
    Over/Under
    LOSS
    Picked: Feb 20 @ 10:49pm

    Analysis

    Texas Tech just lost their leading scorer, J.T. Toppin, for the season and I expect them to lean on their defense going forward. In fact, in their last five games, the Red Raiders have surrendered an average of 60.8 points in regulation and they haven't broken 80 points themselves. Kansas State might have shown something against Baylor in their first game without fired coach Jerome Tang, but I would be mildly surprised if they scored 70 on Saturday. Give me Texas Tech 79-63.
  • expert headshot
    Bruce Marshall
    +78
    (60%)
    3-2 in Last 5 NCAAB Picks
    STJOES -9
    -110
    Spread
    WIN
    Picked: Feb 21 @ 4:27am

    Analysis

    When your top scorer doesn’t score, much less shoot...well, that sums up how things are going at Loyola, as top scorer Justin Moore didn't put up one shot in 30 minutes at midweek vs. Fordham. Even getting benefit of many generous spreads in league play, Loyola has covered just 4 of its last 12 games. The Hawks can handle the Ramblers, too, burying them 85-64 at the Gentile Center on January 27 when the issue was settled by halftime and St Joe’s already cruising 51-24. All of Steve Donahue’s starters, plus sixth man F Anthony Finkley, scored in double digits, led by 17 points from frosh G Austin Williford. Absolutely no evidence that the Ramblers have closed the gap one inch since. Play St Joe's

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