With William Byron's Daytona win and Kyle Larson picking up a Miami victory last week, Hendrick Motorsports enters the 2025 Cook Out 400 as the only team with multiple winning drivers in the Cup Series. Hendrick has also had a stranglehold on the winner's lane at NASCAR at Martinsville recently, as Byron and Larson have won the last three spring races. With recent success and favorable track history, they are among the favorites in the 2025 NASCAR at Martinsville odds, with Larson at +500 and Byron at +650. Two-time Martinsville winner Ryan Blaney is the +450 favorite, while another driver who was twice victorious at the track, Brad Keselowski, is a +3000 NASCAR longshot for Cook Out 400 bets. Christopher Bell earned the NASCAR Martinsville pole, and the latest weather forecast is calling for mostly cloudy skies and temperatures in the 70s.
Before entering any 2025 Cook Out 400 picks, be sure to see the latest 2025 NASCAR at Martinsville predictions from SportsLine's proven projection model. Developed by SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, the proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times and has nailed a whopping 20 winners since 2021, including two winners in 2025.
SportsLine simulated the Cook Out 400 2025 10,000 times. Here are the three NASCAR longshots to target, according to the model:
Top NASCAR at Martinsville sleeper picks from 10,000 simulations
Kyle Busch (+2200 at DraftKings)
For a number of years, Busch was nicknamed King of the Short Track. His performances on these circuits, such as the 0.526-miles Martinsville track, reveal exactly why. Not only does Busch have the most wins (16) at short tracks amongst active drivers, but his average finish of 11.9 on them ranks third-best. A big part of that success is what he's done at Martinsville Speedway with two career victories and top-5 finishes in 17 of 39 starts (44%). The two-time Cup Series champion would be a steal at his current odds at DraftKings.
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Ross Chastain (+2200 at DraftKings)
After struggling at Martinsville Speedway early in his career, Chastain has been reborn at the track since joining Trackhouse Racing in 2022. He had an average Martinsville finish of 27.5 across his first six starts -- which came with two other teams -- but has averaged a placement of 9.5 over his six starts with Trackhouse. All six of those have resulted in top 15 finishes, which is something just three other drivers can claim. Chastain also enters the 2025 Cook Out 400 with top 10s in each of his last three short track races, so he's quite comfortable on tracks less than one mile in length.
Josh Berry (+3000 at Bet365)
After finishing 27th in his rookie year on the Cup Series in 2024, Berry is 12th entering NASCAR at Martinsville. That is thanks to him notching his first career victory just two weeks ago in Vegas, which came one race after a top-5 finish in Phoenix. Berry's two top 5s this season have already matched how many he had across 36 races a year ago, and he's already tasted victory at Martinsville Speedway. He won the 2021 Cook Out 250 on the Xfinity Series and is ready to transfer that success to the Cup Series. Berry can be had at +3000 at both FanDuel and Bet365.
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More top NASCAR at Martinsville expert picks, longshots revealed
You've seen the NASCAR longshots from the model. Now, see the full 2025 Cook Out 400 leaderboard, including forecasts for who finishes first. Visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed 20 winners, including Chase Elliott's victory at Bowman Gray and Kyle Larson's win last week at Homestead.
2025 NASCAR Martinsville odds, drivers, lineup
Ryan Blaney +500
Kyle Larson +500
William Byron +650
Denny Hamlin +650
Chase Elliott +650
Joey Logano +900
Christopher Bell +900
Chase Briscoe +1200
Ross Chastain +2200
Kyle Busch +2200
Austin Cindric +2800
Alex Bowman +2800
Josh Berry +3000
Bubba Wallace +3000
Brad Keselowski +3000
Tyler Reddick +3500
Ryan Preece +3500
Chris Buescher +3500
Ty Gibbs +4500
Noah Gragson +6000
Daniel Suarez +8000
Carson Hocevar +10000
Austin Dillon +11000
Cole Custer +13000
Shane Van Gisbergen +15000
Todd Gilliland +20000
Michael McDowell +20000
Erik Jones +20000
AJ Allmendinger +20000
Justin Haley +25000
Zane Smith +30000
Riley Herbst +30000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +30000
John Hunter Nemechek +30000
Burt Myers +30000
Ty Dillon +50000
Cody Ware +100000
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