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2025 RBC Canadian Open leaderboard: Mackenzie Hughes two back in pursuit of his nation's championship

Saturday at the 2025 RBC Canadian Open was a perfect storm of low scores from chasers and struggles from the 36-hole leaders. Combined together, that created a chaotic leaderboard heading into Sunday's final round with Matteo Manassero and Ryan Fox having vaulted to the top at 14 under.

Manassero and Fox started the day four shots behind 36-hole leader Cameron Champ but now stand three clear of Champ, who scored par on 17 of 18 holes with a single bogey on the day. There are three players tied at 13 under behind them and an incredible 24 players at 10 under or better -- all within four strokes of taking the RBC Canadian Open crown.

On a course that has given up plenty of rounds in the mid-to-low 60s this week, anyone in that group -- or even as far back as 9 under (such as Ludvig Åberg) -- has to feel like they have a chance at lifting the trophy come Sunday night. Exactly how wide open this will be will come down to whether Fox and Manassero hold up as the final pairing on Sunday. 

Most local eyes will be on Mackenzie Hughes, a two-time PGA Tour winner looking for his first victory in three years. The top Canadian on the leaderboard, he dropped a playoff in the Myrtle Beach Classic earlier this year with Fox, ironically, prevailing.

Sunday at TPC Toronto will feature a wide-open race with little in the way of winning experience among those atop the leaderboard. Champ and Hughes are the only players in the top 10 with multiple PGA Tour wins on their resume. That should create a fascinating final round filled with nerves, low scores and more than 25 players believing they have a legitimate shot at the win. 

The leaders

1. Matteo Manassero, Ryan Fox (-14): Both players have won multiple times on the DP World Tour, but Manassero is looking for his breakthrough on the PGA Tour, while Fox got his first win earlier this year in that Myrtle Beach playoff. How they handle the final-round nerves will go a long way to determining just how chaotic Sunday will be. They both must assume that, by the time they tee off Sunday afternoon, multiple players will have passed them on the leaderboard (given the scoring conditions so far this week). Perhaps that will free them up to not feel like they're protecting a lead, but they will still need to go hunting in the final round to prevail.

Contenders

T3. Lee Hodges, Kevin Yu, Matt McCarty (-13)
T6. Mackenzie Hughes, Jake Knapp, Andrew Putnam (-12)
T9. Rico Hoey, Byeong Hun An, David Skinns, Cameron Young, Cristobal Del Solar, Victor Perez, Cameron Champ (-11)
T16. Adam Hadwin, Taylor Pendrith, Sam Burns, Shane Lowry, Nick Taylor and four others (-10)
T25. Ludvig Åberg and three others (-9)

There are some fascinating names in this chase group, led by the trio at 13 under who all put together incredible third rounds of 64 or better. The challenge for that group is backing up those efforts Sunday, and as we've seen all week, few players have been able to go low on back-to-back days. 

Hughes is Canada's best chance at keeping its national championship in the Great White North, while three others -- Adam Hadwin, Taylor Pendrith and Nick Taylor -- are all part of the big group at 10 under. If any of those guys can get hot early and start climbing the board, they will send a lot of noise cascading around TPC Toronto for the leaders behind them to hear. 

Jake Knapp was, briefly, tied for the lead when it was at 13 under before a bogey on No. 17, and he's been hanging around the top 10 all week and feels live. Cameron Young seems to have found something at U.S. Open qualifying when he outlasted Max Homa and Rickie Fowler in a playoff to earn a spot at Oakmont. He has backed that up with one of his best weeks of the year. 

Champ is certainly still alive and will not have the same pressure on him on Sunday, despite his struggles on Moving Day. Burns, Lowry and Åberg are the most established star names still in the hunt, and they will be trying to post a score for the leaders to stare at as they come down the back nine. 

2025 RBC Canadian Open updated odds, picks

Odds via BetMGM

  • Ryan Fox (7/2)
  • Matteo Manassero (11/2)
  • Kevin Yu (8-1)
  • Matt McCarty (17/2)
  • Lee Hodges (9-1)
  • Jake Knapp (12-1)
  • Mackenzie Hughes (12-1)
  • Andrew Putnam (28-1)
  • Cameron Champ (28-1)
  • Cameron Young (33-1)
  • Shane Lowry (40-1)
  • Sam Burns (40-1)

While there's the possibility of someone coming from that 10 under group to win, someone near the top of the leaderboard likely will shoot a low enough score to get the job done. Earlier in the week, I pointed to Fox and Knapp as good live options, and nothing they've done has dissuaded me from that opinion. Aside from those two, Hughes is tempting at 12-1 given he's going to have huge support Sunday. The concern there is that while he might ride that wave of support to the win, it also could turn into pressure that comes crashing down on him. 

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Matteo Manassero birdies the 18th to post clubhouse lead at -14

Manassero bounced back from his bogey on No. 17 with a birdie on the par-5 18th to take the solo lead at 14 under. Manassero shot a 6-under 64 on Saturday to surge up the leaderboard and into the lead, but will have to wait until Jake Knapp and Ryan Fox (both at -13 thru 16) finish their round to find out if he'll hold onto the 54-hole lead. 

Aside from that dropped shot on No. 17, Manassero kept his card clean throughout the third round with seven birdies, 10 pars and the one bogey. He has put himself in position to challenge for his first career win, but will have to fend off a ton of challengers, as there are 23 players at 10 under or better currently. In any case, he should be in line for his best finish of the season in an individual event (T25 at the Farmers Insurance Open). 

 
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Jun 7, 2025, 9:05 PM
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Matteo Manassero bogeys No. 17, falls back into a 6-way tie for the lead at -13

Manassero's efforts at getting to the clubhouse as the solo leader took a hit on the 17th hole, as he bogeyed the long par 4 after missing a short range putt for par. That bogey brought a bunch of players into a tie for the lead, as Lee Hodges, Matt McCarty and Kevin Yu are in the clubhouse at -13, while Ryan Fox and Jake Knapp are on the course at 13 under for the tournament with two holes to play. 

That sets up not only a dramatic finish to the third round, but what should be a wild Sunday at TPC Toronto as there are 21 players within three shots of the lead currently on a course that has given up a lot of rounds in the mid-to-low 60s. 

 
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Matteo Manassero pushes the lead to -14 with a birdie on No. 15

The logjam at the top of the leaderboard has been broken briefly by Matteo Manassero, as he poured in a birdie putt on the 15th hole to become the first man at 14 under for the tournament. 

That broke the tie at the top for now, but both Matt McCarty (thru 15) and Ryan Fox (thru 13) have time to try and reel him in before the end of the third round. 

 
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Lee Hodges sets clubhouse lead at -13, tied with three others on top

The chaos at the top of the leaderboard at TPC Toronto continues as there are now four players tied for the lead at -13. Only one of them has finished his third round, as Lee Hodges shot a 7-under 63 to vault into a share of the lead at the time he posted his score. 

He is tied with Matteo Manassero, Ryan Fox and Matt McCarty, all of whom are still on the course with holes to play. The 36-hole leader, Cameron Champ, has slid back to -11 after a slow start to his third round, and as of this moment there are 20 players within three shots of the lead. 

 
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Kevin Yu gets to -12, breaks 11-way tie for the lead

An early bogey by 36-hole leader Cameron Champ dropped him back to -11, which briefly gave Sam Burns a solo lead at -12. He gave that back as well at the end of his front nine, and for a moment there were an incredible 11 players tied for the lead on Saturday afternoon. 

Kevin Yu has broken that tie with a birdie on the 12th to get to -12 as the leader alone, but there are now nine players tied for second, just one behind him. Rico Hoey is the only one of those in the clubhouse after shooting a 6-under 64 on Saturday, and it appears we are in for a wild Moving Day in Toronto. 

 
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Sam Burns moves to -4 on his day, ties Cameron Champ at -12

We now have co-leaders at the RBC Canadian Open as Sam Burns made another birdie at the 5th to get to 12 under, matching Cameron Champ who could not take advantage of the par-5 1st to get further under par. There is a considerable chase group forming behind those two, as Ryan Fox and Victor Perez have it to -11, while nine players are tied at 10 under. If we don't see someone (or a couple players) separate at the top soon, we could be in for an incredibly chaotic weekend in Toronto. 

 
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Jun 7, 2025, 6:10 PM
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Sam Burns off to a hot start, moves into second at -11

Sam Burns got the worst of the weather draw this week having to play early on Thursday, but he was among the best in that wave and gave himself a chance going into Saturday at 8 under, four off the lead. He is off to a quick start to his third round, making an eagle at the 1st and adding a birdie at the 4th to move to 11 under and into solo second as the final pairing is just now on the course. 

We've already seen a 63 and a 64 early on Saturday, so we know there are low scores to be had, and Burns is on pace early for one of those kinds of rounds himself. 

 
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Alex Smalley shoots a 63 to move to -10, two back of Cameron Champ before he tees off

Alex Smalley's Canadian Open has been a roller coaster so far. He opened with a 65 that put him just four shots off the lead, but then shot a Friday 72 that dropped him all the way back to the cut line at -3. That meant he had an early tee time on Saturday and bounced back with a sensational, bogey-free 63 that moved him into a tie for second before the leaders even tee off for their third round. 

Smalley's round could've been even better, as he missed a 5-footer at the last for birdie to shoot 62, but he still moves himself into contention as of now. He's not alone in making a big move up the leaderboard, as Antoine Rozner also has it to 10 under early on Saturday as he's 6 under thru 12. 

It certainly seems like Moving Day will live up to the billing at TPC Toronto, as there are low scores to be had and if the leaders get stuck in the mud, things could get very bunched up at the top going into Sunday's final round. 

 
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