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The Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers will meet in Game 2 of the 2025 NBA Finals on Sunday. The Thunder threw away a double-digit lead in the fourth quarter in Game 1, eventually losing 111-110 thanks to a buzzer-beater for Indiana's Tyrese Haliburton. The Pacers have now won nine of their last 13 meetings against the Thunder. Oklahoma City enters Sunday's showdown 6-1 in its last seven games at home and 18-1 in its past 19 games against opponents from the Eastern Conference. 

Tipoff is at 8 p.m. ET from the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. The Thunder are 11.5-point favorites in the latest Pacers vs. Thunder odds from DraftKings Sportsbook after the line opened at 11, while the over/under for total points scored is 228.5. OKC is a -581 money line favorite (risk $581 to win $100), while the Pacers are +424 underdogs. Before locking in any Thunder vs. Pacers picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the 2025 NBA Finals on a sizzling 160-118 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 24-11 (69%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

Now, the model has simulated Pacers vs. Thunder 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Thunder vs. Pacers:

Pacers vs. Thunder spread

Oklahoma City -11.5 at DraftKings

Pacers vs. Thunder over/under

228.5 points

Pacers vs. Thunder money line

Oklahoma City -581, Indiana +424

Pacers vs. Thunder picks

See picks at SportsLine

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Pacers vs. Thunder sportsbook promos

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Why the Thunder can cover

OKC managed to force 25 turnovers in Game 1, showing its ability to be pesky defensively. The Thunder are 58-35-4 against the spread this season as a favorite and 10-8-1 against the spread after a loss. Guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will be the main player OKC relies on in this contest. In the playoffs, he's averaging 30.2 points and 6.7 assists per game. 

In his last outing, Gilgeous-Alexander had 38 points, five rebounds and three assists. He's scored 30-plus points in three straight games. Forward Jalen Williams is an athletic two-way threat in the frontcourt. He logs 20.2 points, 5.6 rebounds and 5.4 assists per game. Williams has tallied at least 17 points in his past three matchups. See which team to back at SportsLine.

Why the Pacers can cover

The Pacers are the comeback kids, notching five comebacks when down 15 points or more this postseason. Guard Tyrese Haliburton continues to be cold-blooded when it matters most. He's hit three game-winning shots this postseason, while also knocking down a game-tying jumper against the New York Knicks. In Game 1, Haliburton had 14 points, 10 rebounds and six assists.

In the playoffs, he leads the team in assists (9.5) with 18.5 points per contest. Forward Pascal Siakam is another scorer who will put the ball on the deck and attack the lane. This postseason, he's leading the team in points (20.9) and rebounds (6). In Game 1, he had 19 points and 10 boards. See which team to back at SportsLine. 

How to make Pacers vs. Thunder picks

SportsLine's model has simulated Pacers vs. Thunder and is leaning Under the total, projecting 222 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model's NBA picks. 

So who wins Pacers vs. Thunder Game 2, and which side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Pacers vs. Thunder spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.