shai-gilgeous-alexander-thunder.png
Imagn Images

The Indiana Pacers will host the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 3 of the 2025 NBA Finals on Wednesday. After falling into a 0-1 hole, OKC bounced back with a 123-107 victory over the Pacers in Sunday's contest. Tipoff for Game 3 is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, where the home team went 29-11 in the regular season. The Thunder are favored by 5.5 points, and the teams have split the first two matchups versus the spread. The over/under for total points scored is 226.5, according to the latest Pacers vs. Thunder odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. The Thunder are -230 money-line favorites (risk $230 to win $100), while the Pacers are +187 underdogs (risk $100 to win $187).

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the second week of the 2025 NBA Finals on a sizzling 160-118 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 24-11 (69%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

Now, here are the model's top-three picks in the Thunder vs. Pacers SGP on Wednesday, and also check out our odds for Game 3.

Best Thunder vs. Pacers NBA Finals Game 3 NBA SGP:

  • Thunder -5.5 (-108)
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 34+ points (-115)
  • Aaron Nesmith 2+ 3-Pointers Made (-275)
  • SGP payout: +391 (odds subject to change)


Thunder vs. Pacers spread

Oklahoma City -5.5 at DraftKings

Thunder vs. Pacers over/under

226.5 points

Thunder vs. Pacers money line

Oklahoma City -230, Indiana +187

Thunder vs. Pacers picks

See picks at SportsLine

Thunder vs. Pacers streaming

Fubo (Try for free)

Thunder vs. Pacers sportsbook promos

Fanatics Sportsbook promo code, bet365 bonus code, BetMGM promo code

Thunder -5.5 (-108)

OKC goes into this contest with a 25-20-2 record against the spread as the away team and 23-19-2 record against the spread as the away favorite. In addition, they have gone 32-8 on the road during the regular season, including a six-point victory back in December. Even though they secured a 16-point victory at home, they head into the game with some momentum. Use a DraftKings promo code to get even more bang for your buck on this line.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 34+ points (-115)

Gilgeous-Alexander is playing at another level, averaging 30.4 points per game in the 2025 NBA Playoffs. The 26-year-old has tallied 34 or more points in eight games this postseason, including four straight outings. He now has five games with 34-plus points against Indiana, which includes the regular season.

Aaron Nesmith 2+ 3-Pointers Made (-275)

Nesmith has been the Pacers' best 3-point shooter in the playoffs. He's knocking down a team-best 49.5% of his 3-pointers on 5.6 attempts per game. The 25-year-old has made two-plus threes in 13 playoff games this postseason, including Games 1 & 2. A FanDuel promo code can help you unlock even more value on this prop. 

Want more NBA picks for Game 3?

You've seen some of the model's top NBA playoff best bets for Game 3. Now, get spread, total and money-line picks for Pacers vs. Thunder here, all from the model that's simulated every game 10,000 times. 

Also at SportsLine:
You can also see today's top NBA picks from expert Bruce Marshall, who's on a sizzling 142-112-2 (+1880) roll on his last 256 NBA picks. Visit SportsLine to see his best plays for today, all from the expert who's up nearly 19 units.